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HEED THE BEANS
Lefties are planning Rudd celebrations, although “there remains an undertow of concern that they might be denied victory tonight.” With good reason, for the beans have spoken at a chain of Perth coffee houses:
Customers have picked every election winner since 1996 with a 100% strike rate. This year, 16 “polling booths” have been set up in various stores, where coffee lovers can drop a bean in the beaker representing their preferred party.
Over three weeks, more than 33,000 voters have cast their bean, and the voting has percolated down to a Liberal lead of 42% to Labor’s 36%.
Mark Steyn is with the beans: “On Saturday (Australia Time, which is more or less practically right now Eastern Daylight Central Standard Mountain Time), [John Howard] faces the toughest election of his life. He deserves to win.”
Are you subject to exit polls like we are in the US? They aren’t very accurate but are beloved by the MSM as it is something to talk about until the real numbers start coming in.
On the few occasions I’ve been mugged by those twits at after voting, I’ve always lied, just to make the nosy parkers even more useless.
I predict that if the ALP loses the election, the lefties will pull a Margo Kingston and blame interest rates or something else, anything other than the fact that the Australian people don’t trust the left to lead the nation.
Posted by wronwright on 2007 11 23 at 12:39 PM • permalink#14 El Cid: G.K. Chesterton once referred to “the democracy of the dead”; maybe Chicago’s what he had in mind.
Wronwright should have those Ohio voting machines in place, and Detective Paco’s bookie, Tiny Weiss, still says it’s in the bag for John, so chins up, all (that way you don’t dribble the eel juice down your shirt).
There are at least two coffee shops I know of doing the same thing both had liberal very slightly ahead yesterday. Maybe a photo finish?
Posted by surfmaster on 2007 11 23 at 03:20 PM • permalinkMaybe tea-drinkers are socialists.
As much as I hope Howard gets back in, I think the smug, prissy, teacher’s pet will win. It’s almost impossible to believe we’d throw out a spectacularly economically successful government for the greatest tool chest since Whitlam’s bunch, but it sure looks like we will.
And I’ll stay in Australia no matter who wins. My capital, on the other hand…
There’s been a poll running on PerthNow for about a week. It’s had JWH ahead by at least 10 percentage point consistently. It seems genuine because there have been no wild swings either way. Just a point or two in either direction before settling on 48-38 for the last four days, with the Greens, Other and “I’ll decide on Saturday” gaining or losing a point over the entire week. Today, Greens and “I’ll decide on Saturday” are on 5 each with Other on 1.
I’ve been noticing polls that pose a question like “Should boat people be turned back?” and similar questions that relate to people’s attitudes towards what really amounts to government policy, but posed without political context. In that particular poll, the answer was 4-1 for yes. In other words, majority support for Liberal Party policy on that issue. Similar questions on other issues have produced a similar result. Again, any indication of hackers and I lose interest. If there’s a clean majority response when questions on various issues are posed devoid of political context, and that response supports Liberal Party policy, then the election should bring a much bigger win for the Libs than anyone suspects.
Or should I go back to bed and dream on?
It was Liberal how-to-vote papers as far as the eye could see at my local polling booths this morning. Big early turnout and quite a friendly, upbeat mood. Mind you, they were dumping retirement villagers off by the busload, so I’m under no illusions this isn’t Liberal heartland. Still, put it this way: didn’t look like there was a swing towards Labor. Fingers crossed.
Lefties are planning Rudd celebrations, although “there remains an undertow of concern that they might be denied victory tonight.”
Or as ‘our’ ABC so elegantly put it,
“Dracula might yet re-emerge from his coffin”.That’s what I just love about ‘our’ ABC. They’re just so damned impartial and even-handed!
Not!I cast my vote today for Peter Costello. Turnout was huge, with the large majority holding Liberal how to vote cards. Not surprising in a blue ribbon seat but at least I now know that, if all goes to pot under Labor, I live in a safe Liberal enclave. We’ll just a build a wall to keep the rabbits out.
#18 Craig Mc
I think John Howards manner (direct talker, decisive, not distracted by interest groups) made it look easy. He never elaborated on difficulties but took it in his stride, so it looked like all you have to do is stride.We are going to pay royal if the priss gets in, and moreso when his own party gets him out of their way.
Posted by Toiling Mass on 2007 11 24 at 01:27 AM • permalinkI voted for Phil Baressi, who looks like losing Deakin. It was a marginal seat, and he’d been there for the life of the government.
The coalition was on the nose in early 2001 over the BAS statements, and I fired off a particularly angry email to him on the matter. He replied within ten minutes addressing each of my points and vowing to take them to cabinet, which he did. All my problems were solved and I’ve had nothing but respect for the guy ever since. I doubt my new member will be as good.
My electorate are the same morons who returned that worthless, back-stabbibng bint Kirsty Marshall at the last state election. Forest Hill may be a middle suburb, but it has its share of Cletus types.
Excuse me, I have to go fix my interest rates now.
Since 1996? So, what? The beans just always predict liberal? Good on ya, beans.
Posted by Jefferson Skates on 2007 11 24 at 12:55 PM • permalink
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I’m with the beans on this one.