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IRAQIS OPTIMISTIC

Some impressive numbers in a new BBC opinion poll out of Iraq:

Interviewers found that 71% of those questioned said things were currently very or quite good in their personal lives, while 29% found their lives very or quite bad.

When asked whether their lives would improve in the coming year, 64% said things would be better and 12% said they expected things to be worse.

However, Iraqis appear to have a more negative view of the overall situation in their country, with 53% answering that the situation is bad, and 44% saying it is good.

But they were more hopeful for the future - 69% expect Iraq to improve, while 11% say it will worsen.

And get this:

The BBC News website’s World Affairs correspondent, Paul Reynolds, says the survey shows a degree of optimism at variance with the usual depiction of the country as one in total chaos.

The findings are more in line with the kind of arguments currently being deployed by US President George W Bush, he says.

Also interesting: asked to nominate a priority for the new government, only 10% (of 1700 respondents) mentioned removing coalition forces.

Posted by Tim B. on 12/12/2005 at 04:37 AM
  1. The BBC report contains the following disclaimer:

    However, critics will claim that the survey proves little beyond showing how resilient Iraqis are at a local level - and that it reveals enough important exceptions to the rosy assessment, especially in the centre of the country, to indicate serious dissatisfaction, our correspondent adds.

    Wouldn’t want anyone to get the idea things aren’t as bad in Iraq as they’re made out to be.

    Posted by J F Beck on 2005 12 12 at 06:19 AM • permalink

  2. Just goes to show it’s often only a small minority that spoil everything for the majority, such as a small but violent group of Sunni insurgents killing the post war reconstruction.

    Posted by cjblair on 2005 12 12 at 06:33 AM • permalink

  3. But are MSM finally getting it? Have they discovered that their demographic base is not the Margo’s et al, but the mundane punters”

    If so, good change in tack (sailing wise).

    Posted by Louis on 2005 12 12 at 06:43 AM • permalink

  4. Disclaimers and all, Jesus H. Christ, how did that get past the comissars?

    Posted by Jim Geones on 2005 12 12 at 07:21 AM • permalink

  5. Of course this will be the last time the BBC will pay for an independent professionally conducted opinion poll. At least the last time they will pay before getting the findings. The truth? Heads will roll. Not in their charter.

    Posted by geoff on 2005 12 12 at 07:37 AM • permalink

  6. The Iraqis are more optimistic about Iraq than the Democrats are about the USA.

    But don’t question their patriotism.

    Oh, I forgot to mention, they support the troops.

    Posted by Gandalin on 2005 12 12 at 07:38 AM • permalink

  7. Well done troops,you deserve to have your worth acknowleged…

    Posted by crash on 2005 12 12 at 08:22 AM • permalink

  8. Don’t be fooled by what the BBC put on their website.  I was listening to the BBC flagship “Today” news programme this morning on the radio.  The headline items selected from the poll were that the majority of Iraqis now opposed the war (itself an untrue statement) and two thirds of them wanted coalition troops to leave (without mentioning that most of them only want this to happen when Iraqi security forces are able to take over - ie they support the UK/US government viewpoint).  There was mention that Iraqis appeared quite optimistic but NO other poll result was given.  They then ran an interview with the pollsters in which the interviewee had to repeatedly fend off hostile questions about “surely it isn’t possible to carry out a reliable poll in Iraq” coupled with a reporter led piece on “how difficult it is to understand why Iraqis are optimistic”.  The pollster to his credit said that they’d been able to go everywhere and drew attention to both the astonishingly and consistently positive attitudes of Iraqis (the words he used were “amazingly high”) and one positive poll result number (confidence in Iraqi forces 70%)as well as the fact that Iraqis actually continued to support the logic of the war (but not its execution). The key result you highlight (71% Iraqis think their life is good or very good) and is the lead on the BBC website was not mentioned at all.  MSM spin is alive and very, very healthy.

    Posted by jriddell on 2005 12 12 at 08:48 AM • permalink

  9. “But Saddam loyalists have turned against Zarqawi, a Jordanian militant whose fighters travel to Iraq from across the Arab world to blow themselves up in a bid to spark sectarian civil war.”

    “Zarqawi is an American, Israeli and Iranian agent who is trying to keep our country unstable so that the Sunnis will keep facing occupation, said a Baathist insurgent leader who would give his name only as Abu Abdullah.”
    Yahoo

    I don’t care if these Sunni’cides blame Saturn’s Rings, or voice other preverted logic, if the U.S., Aussies, Brits and ALL other allies have turned the corner here and the Iraqi’s find there form of a civilized and defended society, minus the rape rooms, tongue extractions, poison gasses and the like….Damn Fantastic.

    Posted by El Cid on 2005 12 12 at 08:53 AM • permalink

  10. OOOPS! The truth slipped out. Be assured, the BBC is furiously trying to get the toothpaste back in the tube. If they can’t, they’ll cover it with dung, releasing the stench of defeatism and appeasement they usually transmit to perfume their so-called “news”.

    Posted by stats on 2005 12 12 at 09:04 AM • permalink

  11. Argument deployed:
    Iraqis overjoyed,
    BBC annoyed.

    Posted by Dave in Chicago on 2005 12 12 at 09:53 AM • permalink

  12. Funny, we in the U.S. have a similar process. Only we wait until ‘ours’ are dead to collect their votes.

    Happens all the time in large metro areas, well large metro cemetery areas.

    Posted by El Cid on 2005 12 12 at 10:10 AM • permalink

  13. I am going to go out to the tip of the furthest leaf on a very long skinny limb here and say that I believe the tide has turned in the last couple of weeks in the mainstream media. By that I mean only just. I acknowledge I can’t prove it but it just seems more of this stuff has seeped through.Like Benjamin Graham says about the stock market in the short term it is a voting machine in the long term it is a weighing machine. The fundamentals are coming home.

    Posted by the nailgun on 2005 12 12 at 10:12 AM • permalink

  14. The tide has turned in Australia for one reason only…the sedition laws tied in with the anti terrorism laws.Other western media will be waiting for the axe to fall on them too…....

    Posted by crash on 2005 12 12 at 10:21 AM • permalink

  15. EXCELLENT news!  But I wonder how long before the leftie talking heads spin this one into bad news?

    Oops…..#8, I’m too late!  Not long, eh?

    Posted by The_Real_JeffS on 2005 12 12 at 10:22 AM • permalink

  16. Thank you, Jriddell, for the clarification.

    Posted by chinesearithmetic on 2005 12 12 at 10:30 AM • permalink

  17. That any truth at all is getting through the BBC’s ideological firewall is good news. The Iraqis obviously have more faith in the potential of democracy in their country than chuckleheads like Howard Dean and Congressman Murtha, whose notion of foreign policy is to walk around with a self-affixed “kick me” sign on their backs.

    Posted by paco on 2005 12 12 at 10:53 AM • permalink

  18. No!  No!  80% of the Iraqis want us to leave right now!  Howard Dean screamed so!  You FOOLS!  Don’t you SEE?

    Posted by richard mcenroe on 2005 12 12 at 11:12 AM • permalink

  19. That must have gagged a few lefties.

    Surely even the MSM realizes that, as things get demonstrably better in Iraq and coalition troops start to come home, they must cover their heretofore negative asses.

    Posted by RebeccaH on 2005 12 12 at 01:12 PM • permalink

  20. However, Iraqis appear to have a more negative view of the overall situation in their country, with 53% answering that the situation is bad, and 44% saying it is good.

    Yeah, well…

    Try the same exact poll here in the U.S, (or Oz, I would imagine), and they might find similar discontent.  (Does this mean we’re headed for civil war?!?)

    The only “news” here for veteran Chrenkoff readers is that the BBC needs to conduct a poll to figure out that Iraqis like freedom better than tyranny.

    “The tide is turning in the legacy media” ?  Pfft.  I’ll take that bet.  Name your odds.

    Posted by zeppenwolf on 2005 12 12 at 02:15 PM • permalink

  21. Jriddell 8

    MSM spin is alive and very, very healthy.

    No.  It’s robust, but it ain’t healthy.  And it’s definitely NOT to be taken internally.

    Posted by Stoop Davy Dave on 2005 12 12 at 03:14 PM • permalink

  22. Tis a good thing that Iraqi’s do not have to rely on my form, elsewise their form, would be there form. What a friggin’ ignorant…Geezuz.

    Posted by El Cid on 2005 12 12 at 04:05 PM • permalink

  23. However, Iraqis appear to have a more negative view of the overall situation in their country, with 53% answering that the situation is bad, and 44% saying it is good.

    Yeah, well…

    Try the same exact poll here in the U.S. ...

    How about try that exact same poll in Saddam Hussein’s Iraq.  Oh wait, they didn’t allow any such polls.  I think that’s the number the current result should be compared to.  It would probably have been 85 or 90% who said the situation was bad then - surely the vast majority of the Kurds and Shias would have been on that side (and they’re 80% of the country).  There were sanctions by the West and the money meant to alleviate the suffering was being stolen by Saddam from starving children, they were subject to arbitrary arrest, they were subject to religious persecution, they had no free press and no internet access, they were victims of rampant cronyism instead of meritocracy, their votes meant absolutely nothing (100% turnout, 100% for Saddam does not inspire electoral confidence), they weren’t free to travel for political or economic reasons, their infrastructure was being run into the ground so Saddam could build more palaces, etc., etc., etc.  What’s not to love about all that?

    The way I see it, there’s probably been a 30% improvement in that poll number now that people have a basis for hope for the future.

    Posted by kcom on 2005 12 12 at 04:22 PM • permalink

  24. Actually, we’ve had polls like that in the US.  Everyone here says their individual economic situation is great and they look forward to better times in the future but they still think the US economy is in the crapper for everyone else.  HMMM.

    Man, this sure hurts those super double secret Iraqi polls the lefties like to cite.  You know, where 99.9 out of one hundred guys on the street want us to be eaten by camel spiders.

    Posted by Sortelli on 2005 12 12 at 04:58 PM • permalink

  25. Thank you for this Tim!
    I sure as hell wouldn’t expect to see this on the ABC or anywhere else for that matter.
    Isn’t it sad that genuinely good news like this makes so many so-called bleeding heart-types terribly unhappy?

    Posted by Brian on 2005 12 12 at 07:48 PM • permalink

  26. #8 tells us that the BBC never bother with providing any balanced coverage, or they would have been able to get positive interviews any time they wanted, but didn’t. 
    This is abundant proof that the BBC is distorting its coverage for political reasons, not just incompetence. 
    Will anything be done?

    Posted by Barrie on 2005 12 12 at 07:55 PM • permalink

  27. I think the interesting thing will be how the MSM explains the turnaround.
    Will it be US just got lucky and that it was a close shave? A political miracle even.
    Will it be Iraqis did it all themselves and US was irrelevant or even a hindrance?
    Explaining how the Iraqi people suddenly were able to understand democracy and run a civil society should be interesting too. Fancy the MSM respecting the average Iraqis intelligence and opinion.

    Posted by the nailgun on 2005 12 12 at 08:58 PM • permalink

  28. The ABC midday news actually showed an item from ABC America about the peace and rapidly increasing prosperity in Southern and Northern Iraq. Naturally this was ‘balanced’ with a report on Iraqi interior ministry death squads (but kudos to them for mentioning that the funding for the squads came from Iran).

    Posted by Art Vandelay on 2005 12 12 at 11:12 PM • permalink

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